Editorial
Best Emerging Markets to Invest in 2026: How Tariffs Redrew the Map
October 5, 2026 - Tariff access and near-shore capture reordered the 2026 Emerging Markets ranking, making bankability rather than forecast returns the deciding measure.
Editorial

AI adoption among financial market professionals nearly doubled in six months, making data organization the decisive filter DFI lenders apply before scheduling a first meeting.
A DFI data room differs from a venture capital package in sequence and structure, not merely content, and submitting the wrong format signals unpreparedness.
Three financial documents, an ESG narrative, and a capital structure memo determine whether an SME clears pre-screening before a lender agrees to talk.
Nearshoring investment in Brazil, Kenya, and Vietnam is pushing SMEs toward development finance thresholds earlier than prior growth cycles allowed.
Borrowers who arrive with structured, machine-readable records compress DFI review timelines that otherwise extend for months of back-and-forth requests.
Growth-stage companies in Brazil, Kenya, and Vietnam are reaching Development Finance Institution (DFI) financing thresholds earlier than prior cohorts, outpacing what their existing capital structures can support. Adoption of machine-learning tools among lending desks at these institutions nearly doubled in six months, converting data organization from a late-stage formality into the first filter creditors apply. For CFOs and founders in these markets, data readiness, not deal quality alone, now determines how quickly a company completes SME capital raising in Emerging Markets in 2026.
An AI-ready data room is a financing package structured for machine-readable extraction and sequenced to match how an automated DFI review raises questions, in a different order from what a venture capital or private equity investor expects. It functions as a live document maintained throughout the raise, not a one-time submission.
Two forces changed the investment landscape for this segment in H1 2026. Nearshoring investment in Brazil, Kenya, and Vietnam generated SME demand that outpaced organic capital timelines, while Artificial Intelligence (AI) adoption among Development Finance Institution (DFI) professionals nearly doubled, making the borrower’s data, not the pitch, the decisive filter for the raise before a first meeting is scheduled.
Middle Powers realignment is generating real demand at the SME level faster than most companies can finance, as private investments and multilateral capital compete for the same nearshoring opportunity shaping this segment. Africa FDI rose more than 75% in 2024 to reach US$97B, with East Africa projected at 5.9% economic growth in 2026. Manufacturing accounted for 61% of Vietnam’s inward FDI stock in 2023, a Southeast Asia corridor reshaped by trade tensions between larger economies, and foreign-owned firms generated close to 75% of the country’s exports.
Companies that covered the foundations in the 2025 capital raising guide will recognize the six-step structure. What changed in H1 2026 is which step now determines speed to close.
AI adoption among financial market professionals reached 33% in June 2026, up from 18% just six months earlier. Deutsche Bank Research ranked Middle Powers and geopolitical realignment as the fourth-largest market theme shaping Q2 2026, alongside advancing Mercosur-EU trade talks, new sovereign capital moves across the Americas, and geopolitical tensions reshaping trade corridors. Review on the capital-provider side accelerated and became more exacting as demand increased.
The 2025 Delphos guide to raising capital under tighter lending conditions covered the pitch-to-disbursement process. What changed in H1 2026 is that data room review now happens before the pitch, not after it. That raises the question of what exactly these institutions examine before they agree to meet.
Development lenders now evaluate four categories before scheduling a first meeting: audited financial statements with 3 years of consistency, an impact and ESG narrative built on quantified metrics instead of description, governance and ownership documentation meeting international standards, and a capital structure memo showing the borrower’s risk position. A gap in any category defers the conversation, not the deal.
The SME financing gap behind this urgency is real. Across Emerging Market Economies, MSMEs represent more than 90% of firms worldwide and 60% to 70% of global employment, an employment base that makes closing the approximately US$5.7T shortfall a job creation question as much as a capital one. Most of that funding gap persists because capital rarely reaches the borrower directly, with 75% of institutional commitments to SMEs intermediated through domestic banks and local funds against a US$140B annual base. A separate analysis examines how institutional lending platforms and local banks structure those intermediated flows, the supply-side context behind this borrower-side framework.
SMEs absorbed 40% of trade finance rejections in 2024 despite accounting for only 23% of demand, and 70% of women-owned applications were wholly or partially rejected. Borrowers who appoint Delphos on a capital raising mandate bring evidence packages that review teams receive as complete, sequenced files instead of ad hoc requests. For the standards that follow a successful pre-screening, the guide to lender documentation standards covers what credit committees require at each stage of a debt transaction.
Automation is compounding the effect. 81% of surveyed financial services firms are adopting AI in 2026, with 40% at advanced stages, more than double the 20% of regulators at the same level. Separately, 35% of investment professionals already use algorithmic tools such as ChatGPT to automate data collection that once took weeks.
Borrowing costs remain elevated across the board: 34 of 39 OECD Scoreboard countries report SME lending rates above pre-pandemic levels, and new SME lending sits 4% below 2022 peak levels despite 5.7% growth in 2024. Against that backdrop, credit committees at these institutions increasingly treat ESG records as a screening input, not a narrative add-on.
We have structured DFI transactions across Africa, Asia, and Latin America. What separates the companies that close quickly from those that do not is almost always documentation.
– Bart Turtelboom, Chairman & CEO of Delphos.
For borrowers ready to move from preparation into full capital stack design, the guide to 2026 issuer requirements covers the credit committee and governance standards that follow a successful data room review. Knowing what reviewers examine in sequence explains how to prepare. What differs materially is the data room structure itself, and how it compares with what a venture capital or private equity investor expects.
An AI-ready data room contains five categories organized for sequential, machine-readable review: 3-year audited financials, an impact and ESG narrative tied to measurable metrics, governance and ownership records, a capital structure memo, and market-validated projections. A well-organized package answers a reviewer’s questions before they are raised, compressing the timeline for this borrower segment.
The differences are structural, not cosmetic. The comparison below sets out document requirements, review sequence, and preparation standard for DFI capital versus venture capital or private equity financing, and shows why an SME that submits a VC-formatted package to a development lender signals a preparation gap.
| Dimension | DFI Data Room | VC Data Room |
|---|---|---|
| Review sequence | Sequential. Financial consistency examined before impact narrative, governance before projections | Narrative-led. Pitch and growth story reviewed before financial detail |
| Financial documentation | Three years of audited, consistent financials required upfront | Financial projections and unit economics, audit not typically required at this stage |
| ESG and impact narrative | Quantified metrics tied to a measurable impact thesis, screened by automated tools before a first meeting | Optional or narrative-based, rarely a pre-screening requirement |
| Governance and ownership | Formal governance and ownership documentation meeting institutional standards | Cap table and founder agreements, less formal governance expectation |
| Capital structure analysis | Standalone capital structure memo demonstrating risk profile awareness | Use of proceeds and valuation discussion, typically embedded in the pitch deck |
| Document format | Structured for machine-readable extraction, organized to anticipate reviewer questions | Presentation-oriented, built to persuade in a live pitch setting |
| Timing of review | Submission materials reviewed before the first creditor meeting is scheduled | Financial detail typically reviewed after initial investor interest |
| Maintenance | Live document, updated through the engagement | One-time submission package, refreshed per funding round |
Financial structuring differs by corridor. In Brazil, BNDES disbursed US$21.4B in 2024, up 16.9% from 2023, though the five largest commercial banks control more than 80% of commercial credit, leaving smaller banks to serve SMEs. Kenya’s economy grew 4.6% in 2024 and is projected at 5.0% in 2025, with the central bank cutting interest rates by 175 basis points between June and December 2024.
Financial services firms in Emerging Markets and developing economies already report higher advanced AI deployment than developed markets, with adoption of algorithmic tools in credit risk modeling reaching 54% of surveyed firms globally, the same dynamic reshaping how reviewers read Brazilian and Kenyan financials. DFC committed a record US$12.1B in FY2024, supporting 380,000 micro, small, and medium-sized businesses across 44 countries, including a US$50MM equity investment in a Latin American infrastructure fund focused on Brazil.
Sponsors who have worked with an experienced investment readiness advisor on this step typically have a capital structure document that a credit committee can evaluate without follow-up questions. Commercial creditors are also shortening maturities: 16 of 30 OECD Scoreboard countries showed a higher share of short-term SME loans in 2024 than 2023, reducing long-term capital access for growth-stage companies just as development finance structures become more available. Borrowers preparing the ESG narrative component of their data room will find the specific metrics and evidence standards in the guide to impact documentation standards.
Delphos has closed 600-plus transactions across more than 100 countries, structuring at the intersection of private capital and development finance. Three illustrate how data readiness and DFI structuring translate to financial close in the corridors this blog addresses.
In nearshoring corridors where development lenders now run AI-assisted pre-screening, companies that arrive organized close faster than those that do not. The question is where current records stand against the 2026 DFI standard. Delphos provides Capital Raising and Transaction Advisory support that maps existing files against lender requirements, identifies preparation gaps, and builds the capital structure and financial model institutional investors need to see before a company can attract capital. Delphos has mobilized more than US$20B across 600-plus transactions in private markets and development-finance channels since 1987, and works with SME founders and corporates at the 3-to-5 year stage across Brazil, Kenya, Vietnam, and other Emerging Markets corridors.
An AI-ready data room contains five categories: three-year audited financials, an impact and ESG narrative built on quantified metrics, governance and ownership documentation, a capital structure memo, and market-validated projections. Review is sequential and data-first, and automated tools now flag missing documents before a first meeting is offered.
SME capital raising in Emerging Markets through DFI channels typically takes 6 to 18 months from the first engagement to the first disbursement, depending on the creditor and structure. Data readiness is the primary variable a borrower controls. Automated pre-screening has compressed early review, but approval timelines still follow institutional process, not paperwork speed alone.
DFI financing differs from a commercial bank loan in three ways. These loans run longer and align with expansion cycles, rates are often concessional or blended with first-loss instruments, and approval requires governance, impact, and ESG documentation that commercial banks do not examine.
Access to this financing in 2026 happens through two pathways: direct engagement with a DFI, requiring a full capital raising mandate and data room preparation, or indirect access through domestic intermediaries that on-lend this capital, with 75% of the total flowing through intermediaries. DFC, GuarantCo, and ADB are institutional creditors in these corridors.
These institutions require quantified environmental and social metrics instead of narrative descriptions, alignment to the lender's ESG framework, governance records confirming anti-corruption controls and ownership structure, and a clear impact thesis with measurable indicators. Automated review tools now scan ESG submissions for quantified metrics before a first meeting is scheduled.
Automated tools now run initial document screening before the first creditor conversation, eliminating weeks of back-and-forth information requests. This compresses early review for borrowers who arrive prepared and extends it for those who do not. Structured, machine-readable files are now the primary qualification mechanism, not the pitch.
The MSME financing gap is the difference between what SMEs in Emerging Markets need to borrow and what formal financial institutions currently supply, approximately US$5.7T globally. The gap persists because commercial banking requirements exclude most growth-stage SMEs, making this capital the most relevant institutional channel for this audience.
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